V.H. Apelian's Blog

V.H. Apelian's Blog
Showing posts sorted by date for query LTP. Sort by relevance Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by date for query LTP. Sort by relevance Show all posts

Sunday, July 27, 2025

Democratic majority elicits cries of authoritarianism.

 Vaհe H Apelian

Recently Ara Nazarian PhD, posted an article in the July 22, 2025 issue of Armenian Weekly titling it “A leadership in crisis: The political psychology of Nikol Pashinyan’s downward spiral.”  Nazarian alleged to Nikol Pashinyan’s “persistent delusion of infallibility. Despite catastrophic failures….”

During the same time frame, on July 25, 2025, the former FM Vartan Oskanian wrote in Horizon Weekly,  a rebuttal not only of Nikol Pashinyan led government, but also of the European Union alleging complicity. Vartan Oskanian wrote: “As Armenia abandons democracy and descends ever deeper into authoritarianism, the European Union watches in silence. In fact, it is worse than silence. The EU—along with the embassies of its member states in Yerevan—is complicit through willful inaction, diplomatic hedging, and strategic cynicism.” 

Both of them, Ara Nazarian PhD and Vartan Oskanian are known for their persistent and relentless opposition to the thrice democratically elected PM of Armenia. In my view, NP led government of Armenia is not in crisis, or has abandoned democracy, nor is in a downward spiral or has any “delusion of infallibility.”

The fact of the matter is that Nikol Pashinyan led Civil Contract party has 2/3 of the National Assembly delegates and thus commands the majority of the National Assembly. It is the first parliamentary form government in Armenia and is a very cohesive administration against a relentless opposition and enjoys the support of the army and internal security as evidenced by the latter’s uncovering of the subversive plot organized by high placed clerics. It is also apparent that the Nikol Pashinyan enjoys the support of his government officials freeing himself to pursue an active political engagement abroad that has him out of Armenia without concern.

The three presidential form governments did not enjoy similar solidarity. In fact, Levon Ter-Petrosyan’s government officials, including Vartan Oskanian, stood against their president LTP and had him resign. Serzh Sargsyan government splintered and its ARF faction abandoned the Serzh Sargsyan led Republican Pary with which it had formed a government during the previous two terms, and voted for Nikol Pashinyan in the May 8, 2018 snap parliamentary election. When things soured there, ARF formed a coalition not with Serzh Sargsyan, but with Robert Kocharyan. 

Emboldened by its rightful mandate, Nikol Pashinyan government pursues its “crossroad for peace” strategic initiative as the cornerstone of its foreign ministry and internally has institutionalized the legal pursuit of corruption and pursues it as well. 

Democratic majority elicits cries of authoritarianism. There is no form of government that pleases everyone some of the time, let alone all of the time, especially for the Armenians. 

Incidentally, such rhetorical articles in the Diaspora Armenian press serve to stir the emotions of the Diaspora non-voting public or reader, to the detriment of Diaspora. I do not think there is much of a readership of the Armenian Diaspora press in Armenia, especially in English. In Armenia the voters have to contend with the anti-Armenian government directives of the Russian government officials.

Hagop, a commentator in the Armenian Weekly, had countered Ara Nazarian’s PhD bombastic text. Hagop’s comment pertains to Vartan Oskanian as well. I took the liberty of posting it here for the interested readers to make up their minds.


 "Hagop says:

July 22, 2025 at 9:13 pm

The article in question is not a sober analysis of Armenian politics—it is a manipulative, sensationalist hit piece, replete with psychological conjecture, historical false equivalencies, and a disturbing undercurrent of disdain for the democratic will of the Armenian people. Its central thesis—that Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan is psychologically unfit for leadership—is not only irresponsible, it is deeply undemocratic.

1. “Psychological Decline” or Rational Leadership in an Existential Crisis?

The article opens with an armchair diagnosis, hinting at “paranoia” and “emotional detachment” without any credible evidence or firsthand accounts. But Pashinyan is not lashing out randomly—he is making difficult decisions in a period of unprecedented pressure.

Armenia is emerging from war, regional isolation, and generational trauma. It faces existential threats from Turkey and Azerbaijan, whose alliance has resulted in a violent ethnic cleansing in Nagorno-Karabakh (Artsakh)—a tragedy that international actors, including the article’s likely intended audience, have largely ignored.

Pashinyan’s efforts to normalize relations, secure peace, and refocus on Armenia’s long-term viability are not signs of collapse; they are acts of political realism. Is compromise difficult to stomach? Yes. But to equate compromise with psychological breakdown is both dishonest and dangerous.

2. The Church: Accountability Is Not Desecration.

The article falsely paints Pashinyan’s critique of the Armenian Apostolic Church as “calculated desecration.” But what the article calls “attacks” are, in truth, calls for reform and accountability within an institution that has long operated with unchecked privilege and political influence.

The Church is not above scrutiny in a democracy. Pashinyan’s criticisms are consistent with a government seeking to modernize Armenia’s civic institutions, reduce clerical overreach, and ensure the separation of church and state—a cornerstone of democratic governance.

Furthermore, Pashinyan is not alone in his views. Many Armenians, especially among the youth and diaspora, have expressed disillusionment with a Church hierarchy that has at times aligned itself with authoritarian and corrupt political figures from the past.

3. The Aliyev Meeting: Leadership, Not Capitulation.

The article ridicules Pashinyan’s demeanor following a meeting with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, as though leadership is measured in photo ops and facial expressions. This is a grotesque trivialization of diplomatic statecraft.

What the author neglects to mention is that Pashinyan is negotiating under conditions of military blackmail. Azerbaijan, emboldened by Turkish and Israeli arms and Russian indifference, has used force and coercion to impose its will.

And yet, despite these pressures, Pashinyan has not surrendered Armenia’s sovereignty. He has maintained Armenia’s international recognition of borders, pushed back against Azerbaijan’s more extreme demands (including the complete erasure of Armenian border presence in Syunik), and sought guarantees through EU and US mediation. These are signs of strategic pragmatism—not weakness.

4. Ceaușescu Comparisons: An Insult to Intelligence.

To liken Pashinyan to Nicolae Ceaușescu is a farcical and offensive comparison. Ceaușescu ruled as a totalitarian dictator, controlled all aspects of Romanian life, and murdered dissenters.

Pashinyan, by contrast, was democratically elected—twice—by overwhelming margins. The most recent election in 2021, held after the painful loss in Artsakh, gave him a renewed mandate. That is not the behavior of a delusional dictator; it is democracy in action.

He has not outlawed opposition parties. Armenia has free media, vigorous protests, and a parliamentary system that holds government to account. Arrests related to alleged coup plots or terrorism are being handled through due process, and in a region where genuine subversion and foreign-sponsored destabilization are real threats, such vigilance is not unusual.

5. Delusions of Infallibility? Or a Mandate to Reform.

The article accuses Pashinyan of “cognitive dissonance” and “delusions of infallibility.” In reality, he has publicly acknowledged failures, taken personal responsibility for the loss of Artsakh, and invited public scrutiny—even at enormous personal cost.

What he refuses to do, however, is surrender the reform mandate granted to him by the people. Under his leadership, Armenia has made major strides:

• Anti-corruption reforms have led to criminal investigations into oligarchs and former officials once thought untouchable.

• Civil society is freer and more active than ever.

• Education, tax policy, and infrastructure have seen renewed investment.

• Armenia has diversified its foreign policy beyond Moscow, engaging the EU, US, and India.

These are not the hallmarks of authoritarian collapse. They are the signs of a country struggling—bravely—to emerge from the shadows of history.

6. Emotional Blunting or Responsible Governance?

The accusation that Pashinyan has become “emotionally detached” is another classic smear. But effective leadership is not about emoting for cameras. It’s about taking responsibility in the face of tragedy and protecting a nation’s future, even when the path forward is unpopular.

Pashinyan understands the trauma of war—he lost political allies, credibility, and public support after 2020. And yet he stayed, faced the music, and rebuilt. That requires not delusion, but moral courage.

A Democratic Mandate Cannot Be Pathologized.

The article’s final suggestion—that the Armenian people should question Pashinyan’s “psychological and moral fitness”—is not an appeal to civic responsibility. It is a thinly veiled call for regime change, cloaked in academic pretension and emotional manipulation

But Armenians do not need foreign analysts, disillusioned ex-politicians, or anonymous think-tankers to tell them who should lead. They have a voice. They have a vote. And they will decide.

Pashinyan may not be perfect. No leader is. But to brand him a liability to the state while ignoring the enormous pressures, geopolitical betrayals, and legacy of corruption he inherited is a gross injustice—not just to him, but to the Armenian people themselves.

Armenia does not need a saviour. It needs peace, justice, and continued reform—and that, whether critics like it or not, is exactly what Nikol Pashinyan has been trying to deliver.”


Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Is LTP a major Armenian statesman of the 20th century?

Vaհe H Apelian

Levon Ter-Petrosyan, Alexander Myasnikian, Hovhannes Kachaznuni,

A few days ago, on Monday June 23, 2025, Tatul Hakobyan, who undoubtedly is one of the foremost authorities on recent Armenian history, claimed that he thought that Armenia has three major statesmen in the 20th century:  Hovhannes Kachaznuni, Alexander Myasnikyan and Levon Ter-Petrosyan. He also noted that based on his continued further research, he may add or subtract from this list.

I am not a historian and I am not as knowledgeable of the history of the Republic of Armenia as Tatul Hakobyan is. But I am knowledgeable enough to know that the choices Tatul Hakobyan made pertain to the three stages of the Republic of Armenia in the 20th century.

1.            Hovhannes Kajaznuni, pertains to the founding of the Republic of Armenia on May 28, 1918. He was its first prime minister.

2.            Alexander Myasnikyan pertains to the Sovietization of Armenia as the Soviet Socialist Republic of Armenia where Alexander Myansnikian played a major role. I invite the readers to hear historian Pietro Shakarian’s  podcast about Alexander Myasnikyan and other major Soviet Armenia leaders. See the link below.

3.             Levon Ter-Petrosyan pertains to the third – second? – Republic of Armenia. He played a pivotal role as Armenian reasserted itself as a free, independent, democratic Republic that came about on September 21, 199.

The first two, Hovhannes Kachaznuni and Alexander Myasnikyan belong to history. Decades have passed since the prominent roles they played in Armenia.  They are for historians to study. But the third, Levon Ter-Petrosyan, is very much alive. Many of us, in one way or another, learned of the prominent role he played that will be forever enshrined in the history of Armenia.

 I will refrain from expressing my opinion about the first two Tatul Hakobyan presented among the three prominent Armenians in the 20th century. But I will take the liberty of expressing my views about Levon Ter-Petrosyan.

First and foremost, I will make the bold statement that I understand Levon Ter Petrosyan perhaps more than most Armenians do because I am a Kessabtsi and he is a Mussa Dagh Armenian who repatriated to Armenia as an infant with the rest of his family who were from those years when, to have been a Soviet Armenia leaning person or a family in Kessab, and I imagine also among the Mussa Dagh Armenians, was almost akin to being a leper and expected to live with the rest of lepers in their leper colony. I will refrain from justifying as to why I make such a crude analogy, but I stand with the analogy I made however crude it is, simply because it was a crude reality of the day.

Consequently but arguably for sure, I understand the dichotomy in Levon Ter Petrosyan more than others, from his falling with ARF to his determined support for having Kessabtsi catholicos Karekin I Sarkissian occupy Gregory Illuminator’s throne at Etchiadzin. I also appreciate Levon Ter Petrosyan standing by Rev. Movses Janbazian, himself of Mussa Dagh extraction much like LTP. Rev. Movses Janbazian was the executive director of the AMAA, who was instrumental in reintroducing the Armenian Evangelical Church in Armenia. I read that whenever it happened that the two or three met, they conversed in their native kesbenok dialect of Kessab and of Mussa Dagh. Yes, it is called Kesbenok, the dialect of the Christians in Orontes valley and on its surrounding mountain range in historical Antioch, where Kessab and Mussa Dagh are located.

Without a doubt Levon Ter Petrosyan is the unsurpassed academic intellect who led Armenia during this crucial period of ours. But he also is a controversial statesman, who failed to capitalize on his unique status as an elder statesman. I believe the very foundation of the emerging republic would have been different, had he not relied or given free rein to his controversial interior minister Vano Siradeghyan who spent the last decade or two of his life hiding from law, apparently in plain view of those who mattered. Wikipeida notes that Vano Smbati Siradeghyan was an Armenian politician and writer. He held several high-ranked positions in the 1990s. He served as Minister of Internal Affairs from 1992 and 1996 and as Mayor of Yerevan from 1996 to 1998.

Levon Ter Petrosyan led Armenia as it made the transition from a Soviet Republic to a free, independent, democratic state. He was the last to head Armenia as a Soviet Republic and was also the first denizen elected as the president of the new republic.

He burst onto the Armenian history as the leader of Karabakh Committee in Armenia, subsequently as the President of the Supreme Council of the Republic of Armenia and was the signatory of the Armenian Declaration of Independence and on November 11, 1991,  he was elected as the president of Republic of Armenia.

The first Karabagh liberation war ended under his watch with the signing of a ceasefire agreement (the Bishkek Protocol) between the warring parties that came into effect on 12 May 1994. 

LTP will go in history for his “War or Peace, Time to get Serious” position paper that came about on November 1, 1997, three years after the halting of the Karabagh hostilities (see the link below). 

In his historical position paper, he advocated major concessions for resolution of the Karabagh conflict. He emphatically noted that, “Rejection of compromise and maximalism (striving to achieve the maximum and not the possible) is the shortest way to the complete destruction of Karabakh and deterioration of the situation in Armenia,” and prophetically noted that “it is not about giving or not giving Karabakh. It is about keeping Karabakh Armenian. It was inhabited by Armenians for 3000 years and it should be inhabited by Armenians after 3000 years.

Regretfully LTP’s negotiating position outlined in that document resulted in the palace coup engineered by the very same persons whose political fortunes were facilitated by him. 

 Robert Kocharian, Serzh Sargsyan, Vazken Sarkissian and Vartan Oskanian led a palace coup that resulted in LTP’s resignation and ushered the country onto a 20 years long catastrophic policy that culminated in the disastrous 44-Day second Artsakh War under PM Nikol Pashinyan’s watch. 

The rest is the unfolding of the tragic Armenian history.

Being a controversial does not lessen LTP for being a contender as one of the greatest Armenian statesmen of the 20th century. In time, it will be the unfolding of the historical events that will be the final arbiter of the true measure of any statesman, including LTP. 

I am blogger and the remarks I made in this blog should be taken in advisement.  

                                    ***

Link 1: Pietro A. Shakarian: Seven who made (Armenian) history: https://vhapelian.blogspot.com/2022/07/seven-who-made-history.html

Link 2: A document for history: “War or peace, time to get serious" - "Պատերազմ թէ՞ խաղաղութիւն՝ լրջանալու պահը" - Introduction: https://vhapelian.blogspot.com/2024/10/a-document-for-history-war-or-peace_20.html


 

 

 

 

 

  

Monday, March 17, 2025

Peace treaty: What does it accomplish? My take - 1/3 -

Vaհe H Apelian

On March 13, 2025 the Armenian Foreign Ministry issued a statement that read in part: “The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Armenia through diplomatic channels has conveyed to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Azerbaijan that Armenia accepts the proposals of Azerbaijan on the two unresolved articles of the draft "Agreement on Peace and Establishment of Interstate Relations between the Republic of Armenia and the Republic of Azerbaijan", and has proposed issuing a joint statement announcing that the text of the Peace Agreement has been agreed upon and that the negotiations on the draft agreement have been finalized. Official Baku preferred to make a unilateral statement.”

Upon the release of the statement by the Armenian Foreign Ministry,  a flurry of comments from Armenian organizations and from Armenians across the globe came about. Understandably many were concerned, while others outright rejected the peace deal labeling it a fake peace or Armenia is capitulating. Although the entire text of the peace deal is not available yet, but the following is known. There will be no more international observers along the border. There is no word about the Artsakh Armenian possessions or their safe return and security guarantee. The hostages and prisoners in Baku are not part of the peace deal.  There is no international guarantee for assuring the implementation of the peace deal. 

The next day, on March 14, Petros Ghazaryan had an interview he with Hayk Konjoryan, on the peace agreement. He is a 38 years old promising upcoming leader who made his political debut 2017 by invoking Khrimian Hayrig’s Iron Laddle (Paper Laddle?) speech. 

The interview was streamed on the Armenian national TV. Hayk Konjoryan noted that the main thrust of the peace deal is for MUTUAL TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY (տարացքային ամողջականութիւն), MUTUAL SOVEREIGHNTY (,ինքնիշխանութիւն), MUTUAL BORDER SANCTITY (Սահմանային անձռմխելիութիւն) and  ABSENCE OF MUTUAL THREAT OF  FORCE  (ուժի բացառում), now and in the future.  He said that the text of the agreement will be provided to the NA as well as to other governmental institutions for public scrutiny, once the deal is signed by both parties. He further elaborated that there is no thesis (դրույթ) for “Zankezur” passage  but all communications routes will be opened per November 9, 2020 try party agreement. He confirmed that there is no trust between Armenia and Azeris. Had there been trust there would not have been the need for a peace deal. He further noted that Artsakh hostages are not part of the peace deal and there is no international guarantee and that the signed peace deal is the guarantee. Politics, he noted, is the art of achieving the possible which is the peace deal Armenia has achieved.

Is Armenia capitulating its sovereignty?

My thoughts went back to the recent Armenian and Azeri conflict over the Mountainous Nagorno Karabagh that ended in a complete disaster for the Armenians. I am reminded of the rejection of the proposal of the first president Levon Ter Petrosyan for major concession for resolving the conflict. He had outlined it in his  “War or Peace, Time to get Serious” position paper on November 1, 1997,  where he advocated major concessions for resolving the lingering Karabagh conflict. Much like in the present, the position LTP outlined in that document created an uproar in Armenia and resulted in the palace coup that unseated him. The rest is another tragic chapter of our much-tortured history. Those interested may read the attached link below.

I remain reminded of what LTP had said in that document.  I quote the following:

“Rejection of compromise and maximalism (striving to achieve the maximum and not the possible) is the shortest way to the complete destruction of Karabakh and deterioration of the situation in Armenia.”

Apart from the essence of compromise, the moment of compromise is also important. …..What we reject today, we will ask for in the future, but we will not receive, as has happened many times in our history.” 

I am also reminded of the founders of the Republic of Armenia on May 28, 1918, whose territory was 11,400 sq. km, per Treaty of Batum that was signed seven days later, on June 4, 1918. But the Armenian state officials went out of their way to safe guard what they had achieved and hosted Turkish officials and not only thanked the butcher Talaat Pasha for making the Republic of Armenia a reality but also pleaded him to expand its territory.  They did it just so that the nascent republic would survive and survive it did and it is the present-day Armenia, which at the present is put in trust of a new generation to assure its longevity as a Republic.

I stand with what the PM Nikol Pashinyan and the FM Ararat Mirzoyan and the present government led by the Civil Contract faction of the NA. They strived on behalf of Armenia and achieved what Armenia could, agreed on signing the peace deal. I believe that Nikol Pashinyan and his FM minister Ararat Mirzoyan are acting responsibly under tremendous pressure and under the burden of history for the sake of assuring the viability of the Republic of Armenia for future generations.  

The issue is existential. However imperfect a peace deal this may be, if signed, as Azerbaijan will do its utmost to sink it, it will be for Armenians to support the government in the peace deal they have worked out and to rally around it to assure that the premises of the peace deal are implemented.

There is no and there will be no international guarantee for the implementation of this peace deal. Its only guarantee is the Armenian nation, by rallying around it to see that the main thrusts of this peace deal, as Hayk outlined, are achieved. 

 MUTUAL TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY (տարացքային ամողջականութիւն)

MUTUAL SOVEREIGHNTY (,ինքնիշխանութիւն),

MUTUAL BORDER SANCTITY (Սահմանային անձռմխելիութիւն).

ABSENCE OF MUTUAL THREAT OF FORCE (ուժի բացառում), now and in the future.

Wil there be a more favorable opportunity in the foreseeable future, if this deal is not signed? I doubt there will be, as a state of no war and no peace is not tenable.

It will be upon each and every one of us, as  Armenians to live up to the challenge.

                                        ***

Link: A document for history: “War or peace, time to get serious" - "Պատերազմ թէ՞ խաղաղութիւն՝ լրջանալու պահը" - https://vhapelian.blogspot.com/search?q=LTP

   

What does this Peace Deal accomplish? My take

Vaհe H Apelian

On March 13, 2025 the Armenian Foreign Ministry issued a statement that read in part: “The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Armenia through diplomatic channels has conveyed to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Azerbaijan that Armenia accepts the proposals of Azerbaijan on the two unresolved articles of the draft "Agreement on Peace and Establishment of Interstate Relations between the Republic of Armenia and the Republic of Azerbaijan", and has proposed issuing a joint statement announcing that the text of the Peace Agreement has been agreed upon and that the negotiations on the draft agreement have been finalized. Official Baku preferred to make a unilateral statement.”

Upon the release of the statement by the Armenian Foreign Ministry,  a flurry of comments from Armenian organizations and from Armenians across the globe came about. Understandably many were concerned, while others outright rejected the peace deal labeling it a fake peace or Armenia is capitulating. Although the entire text of the peace deal is not available yet, but the following is known. There will be no more international observers along the border. There is no word about the Artsakh Armenian possessions or their safe return and security guarantee. The hostages and prisoners in Baku are not part of the peace deal.  There is no international guarantee for assuring the implementation of the peace deal. 

The next day, on March 14, Petros Ghazaryan had an interview he with Hayk Konjoryan, on the peace agreement. He is a 38 years old promising upcoming leader who made his political debut 2017 by invoking Khrimian Hayrig’s Iron Laddle (Paper Laddle?) speech. 

The interview was streamed on the Armenian national TV. Hayk Konjoryan noted that the main thrust of the peace deal is for MUTUAL TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY (տարացքային ամողջականութիւն), MUTUAL SOVEREIGHNTY (,ինքնիշխանութիւն), MUTUAL BORDER SANCTITY (Սահմանային անձռմխելիութիւն) and  ABSENCE OF MUTUAL THREAT OF  FORCE  (ուժի բացառում), now and in the future.  He said that the text of the agreement will be provided to the NA as well as to other governmental institutions for public scrutiny, once the deal is signed by both parties. He further elaborated that there is no thesis (դրույթ) for “Zankezur” passage  but all communications routes will be opened per November 9, 2020 try party agreement. He confirmed that there is no trust between Armenia and Azeris. Had there been trust there would not have been the need for a peace deal. He further noted that Artsakh hostages are not part of the peace deal and there is no international guarantee and that the signed peace deal is the guarantee. Politics, he noted, is the art of achieving the possible which is the peace deal Armenia has achieved.

Is Armenia capitulating its sovereignty?

My thoughts went back to the recent Armenian and Azeri conflict over the Mountainous Nagorno Karabagh that ended in a complete disaster for the Armenians. I am reminded of the rejection of the proposal of the first president Levon Ter Petrosyan for major concession for resolving the conflict. He had outlined it in his  “War or Peace, Time to get Serious” position paper on November 1, 1997,  where he advocated major concessions for resolving the lingering Karabagh conflict. Much like in the present, the position LTP outlined in that document created an uproar in Armenia and resulted in the palace coup that unseated him. The rest is another tragic chapter of our much-tortured history. Those interested may read the attached link below.

I remain reminded of what LTP had said in that document.  I quote the following:

“Rejection of compromise and maximalism (striving to achieve the maximum and not the possible) is the shortest way to the complete destruction of Karabakh and deterioration of the situation in Armenia.”

Apart from the essence of compromise, the moment of compromise is also important. …..What we reject today, we will ask for in the future, but we will not receive, as has happened many times in our history.” 

I am also reminded of the founders of the Republic of Armenia on May 28, 1918, whose territory was 11,400 sq. km, per Treaty of Batum that was signed seven days later, on June 4, 1918. But the Armenian state officials went out of their way to safe guard what they had achieved and hosted Turkish officials and not only thanked the butcher Talaat Pasha for making the Republic of Armenia a reality but also pleaded him to expand its territory.  They did it just so that the nascent republic would survive and survive it did and it is the present-day Armenia, which at the present is put in trust of a new generation to assure its longevity as a Republic.

I stand with what the PM Nikol Pashinyan and the FM Ararat Mirzoyan and the present government led by the Civil Contract faction of the NA. They strived and achieved what they could and  have agreed on signing the peace deal. I believe that Nikol Pashinyan and his FM minister Ararat Mirzoyan are acting responsibly under tremendous pressure and under the burden of history for the sake of assuring the viability of the Republic of Armenia for future generations.  

The issue is existential. However imperfect a peace deal this may be, if signed, as Azerbaijan will do its utmost to sink it, it will be for Armenians to support the government in the peace deal they have worked out and to rally around it to assure that the premises of the peace deal are implemented.

There is no and there will be no international guarantee for the implementation of this peace deal. Its only guarantee is the Armenian nation, by rallying around it to see that the main thrusts of this peace deal, as Hayk outlined, are achieved. 

 MUTUAL TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY (տարացքային ամողջականութիւն)

MUTUAL SOVEREIGHNTY (,ինքնիշխանութիւն),

MUTUAL BORDER SANCTITY (Սահմանային անձռմխելիութիւն).

ABSENCE OF MUTUAL THREAT OF FORCE (ուժի բացառում), now and in the future.

Wil there be a more favorable opportunity in the foreseeable future, if this deal is not signed? I doubt there will be, as a state of no war and no peace is not tenable.

It will be upon each and every one of us, as  Armenians to live up up to the challenge.

                                        ***

Link: A document for history: “War or peace, time to get serious" - "Պատերազմ թէ՞ խաղաղութիւն՝ լրջանալու պահը" - https://vhapelian.blogspot.com/search?q=LTP


Monday, February 24, 2025

The audacity of Vartan

Vaհe H Apelian

It’s February and it’s the month in which the name Vartan dominates Armenian calendar. It’s the month that we celebrate Vartanank, The Feast of Vartanantz, also known as the Feast of St. Vartan the Captain and Companions. It is in celebration of the 451 A.D. Battle of Avarayr, led by Vartan Mamigonian. 

But it is not about Vartan Mamigonian I am going to muse in this blog, in this month of February. But it's about the former foreign minister of Armenia, Vartan Oskanian, who seems to have taken his one-time vocation in foreign ministry and brought it to the  Diaspora. But, his mission is not for forging an alliance between Diaspora and Armenia, or soliciting Diaspora supporting the government the citizens of Armenia have chosen. His present-day ministerial mission is to incite Diaspora against it. I have to correct myself and note that it is to incite the Armenians in the West to stand against the present government the citizens of Armenia voted for thrice, the first time by a snap parliamentary election on May 8, 2018, and twice by general elections; one held  in December 2018, and the other in June 2021. His message, in his impeccable English, is not addressed  to the Russian Armenians, because he wants the Armenians in the Western hemisphere and in Armenia, present Armenia on a platter onto the fold of the Russian Federation, damning Nikol Pashinyan policy of diversification and the pursuit of the crossroad for peace initiative.

Vartan Oskanian, should know that not all Armenians think the way he does. Yes, Armenians living in the United States are painfully aware of the ever-evolving geopolitics. They also know that no other super power in its day, has been as restrained as America was after Word War II. They also know that no other nation, no other people, has helped Armenians in their times of need, as America and Americans did.  And this blogger will not forget what Simon Vratsian said, “Whatever happens; however we regard America’s role in the Armenian Question, we do not forget nor should we forget the U.S. humanitarian assistance to Armenia and the provisions they provided.” (Link 1)

What is the message Vartan Oskanian brings to the Armenians in the west?

In fact, it is a very simple message. It goes like this.

See folks, he says, your United States government is so unreliable that you should heed to its ugly American reality, and you should have the citizens of Armenia also heed to the ugly American "reality". Much like Ukraine that faces dwindling American support, Armenia will soon face the same unsettling scenario, in spite of the cordial relations that have come about between Armenia and the United State of America. 

In simple terms, Vartan Oskanian’s mission is for Western Armenians renounce Armenian American relations, and help Armenia  do the same, right onto the Russian Federation fold. Forget about the Russia reneging its November 9, 2020 agreement and seeing that Azerbaijan depopulated the native Armenians to the latest soul, and had eight of its leaders abduct and have them languish in the Baku prisons. That, he implies, came about because of the fault of the present Armenian leaders. Don’t you see, what happened to the last president of Republic of Artsakh, who signed the capitulation of the Republic he presided? Vartan Osaknian implies. Samvel Shahramadian was flown on Russian helicopter to Armenia and lives there a comfortable life. So will Armenia and Armenians and so will of course Vartan Oskanian, Robert Kocharian and their cronies.

Coming to Vartan Oskanian

Vartan Oskanian is a repatriate who joined the Armenian foreign ministry under president Levon Ter Petrosyan, and in a relatively short period of time worked his way up the diplomatic hierarchy. He likely knew LTP’s policy about settling the Karabagh issue by major concessions LTP asserted in his November 1, 1997 position paper titling it “War or peace, time to get serious.” Where LTP noted:

The only option for solving the Karabakh question is compromise, which does not mean victory for one side and defeat for the other but by possible agreement reached through conflict resolution. Let them not try to mislead the people by saying that there is an alternative to compromise. The alternative to compromise is war.

Rejection of compromise and maximalism (striving to achieve the maximum and not the possible) is the shortest way to the complete destruction of Karabakh and deterioration of the situation in Armenia.

It is not about giving or not giving Karabakh. It is about keeping Karabakh Armenian. It was inhabited by Armenians for 3000 years and it should be inhabited by Armenians after 3000 years." (Link 2)

But a few months after publishing his policy position for settling of the Karabagh issue, LTP was forced to resign. The palace coup was led by a quartet that included Robert Kocharian, Sezh Sargsyan, Vazken Sargsyan and Vartan Oskanian.

The consequences of the shift of the policy is the chapter before last of the torturous and tragic Armenian history, whose last chapter is the present day Republic of Armenia.

Much will be written about the period between the February 1998 forced resignation of LTP and September, 2023 capitulation of Republic of Artsakh. But one thing is regrettably certain for me. Years will turn into decades, into quindecinnium (quarter century), and semi-century and on. Not much will remain from the once proud native Armenian inhabitants of historic Artsakh, the land of the legendary Meliks. 

But the red poppies will continue to blossom on the hills of mountainous Nagorno-Karabagh, as Artsakh recedes onto history and Vartan Oskanian too, unlike Vartan Mamigonian, will never be able to redeem himself.   

                                                ***

Links:

1. REPUBLIC OF ARMENIA’S ECONOMIC STATUS IN THE BEGINNING OF 1919 and THE U.S. HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE

 https://vhapelian.blogspot.com/2019/02/republic-of-armenias-economic-status-in.html


2.  The most consequential palace coup in recent Armenia.histor

   https://vhapelian.blogspot.com/2025/02/vartan-oskanian-is-complicit-in-most.html


Sunday, February 23, 2025

The audacity of Vartan

Vahe H Apelian

A field of red poppies on a hillside in Nagorno-Karabakh, June 3, 2019

It’s February and it’s the month in which the name Vartan dominates Armenian calendar. It’s the month that we celebrate Vartanank, The Feast of Vartanantz, also known as the Feast of St. Vartan the Captain and Companions. It is in celebration of the 451 A.D. Battle of Avarayr, led by Vartan Mamigonian. 

But it is not about Vartan Mamigonian I am going to muse in this blog, in this month of February. But it's about the former foreign minister of Armenia, Vartan Oskanian, who seems to have taken his one-time vocation in foreign ministry and brought it to the  Diaspora. But, his mission is not for forging an alliance between Diaspora and Armenia, or soliciting Diaspora supporting the government the citizens of Armenia have chosen. His present-day ministerial mission is to incite Diaspora against it. I have to correct myself and note that it is to incite the Armenians in the West to stand against the present government the citizens of Armenia voted for thrice, the first time by a snap parliamentary election on May 8, 2018, and twice by general elections; one held  in December 2018, and the other in June 2021. His message, in his impeccable English, is not addressed  to the Russian Armenians, because he wants the Armenians in the Western hemisphere and in Armenia, present Armenia on a platter onto the fold of the Russian Federation, damning Nikol Pashinyan policy of diversification and the pursuit of the crossroad for peace initiative.

Vartan Oskanian, should know that not all Armenians think the way he does. Yes, Armenians living in the United States are painfully aware of the ever-evolving geopolitics. They also know that no other super power in its day, has been as restrained as America was after Word War II. They also know that no other nation, no other people, has helped Armenians in their times of need, as America and Americans did.  And this blogger will not forget what Simon Vratsian said, “Whatever happens; however we regard America’s role in the Armenian Question, we do not forget nor should we forget the U.S. humanitarian assistance to Armenia and the provisions they provided.” (Link 1)

What is the message Vartan Oskanian brings to the Armenians in the west?

In fact, it is a very simple message. It goes like this.

See folks, he says, your United States government is so unreliable that you should heed to its ugly American reality, and you should have the citizens of Armenia also heed to the ugly American "reality". Much like Ukraine that faces dwindling American support, Armenia will soon face the same unsettling scenario, in spite of the cordial relations that have come about between Armenia and the United State of America. 

In simple terms, Vartan Oskanian’s mission is for Western Armenians renounce Armenian American relations, and help Armenia  do the same, right onto the Russian Federation fold. Forget about the Russia reneging its November 9, 2020 agreement and seeing that Azerbaijan depopulated the native Armenians to the latest soul, and had eight of its leaders abduct and have them languish in the Baku prisons. That, he implies, came about because of the fault of the present Armenian leaders. Don’t you see, what happened to the last president of Republic of Artsakh, who signed the capitulation of the Republic he presided? Vartan Osaknian implies. Samvel Shahramadian was flown on Russian helicopter to Armenia and lives there a comfortable life. So will Armenia and Armenians and so will of course Vartan Oskanian, Robert Kocharian and their cronies.

Coming to Vartan Oskanian

Vartan Oskanian is a repatriate who joined the Armenian foreign ministry under president Levon Ter Petrosyan, and in a relatively short period of time worked his way up the diplomatic hierarchy. He likely knew LTP’s policy about settling the Karabagh issue by major concessions LTP asserted in his November 1, 1997 position paper titling it “War or peace, time to get serious.” Where LTP noted:

The only option for solving the Karabakh question is compromise, which does not mean victory for one side and defeat for the other but by possible agreement reached through conflict resolution. Let them not try to mislead the people by saying that there is an alternative to compromise. The alternative to compromise is war.

Rejection of compromise and maximalism (striving to achieve the maximum and not the possible) is the shortest way to the complete destruction of Karabakh and deterioration of the situation in Armenia.

It is not about giving or not giving Karabakh. It is about keeping Karabakh Armenian. It was inhabited by Armenians for 3000 years and it should be inhabited by Armenians after 3000 years." (Link 2)

But a few months after publishing his policy position for settling of the Karabagh issue, LTP was forced to resign. The palace coup was led by a quartet that included Robert Kocharian, Sezh Sargsyan, Vazken Sargsyan and Vartan Oskanian.

The consequences of the shift of the policy is the chapter before last of the torturous and tragic Armenian history, whose last chapter is the present day Republic of Armenia.

Much will be written about the period between the February 1998 forced resignation of LTP and September, 2023 capitulation of Republic of Artsakh. But one thing is regrettably certain for me. Years will turn into decades, into quindecinnium (quarter century), and semi-century and on. Not much will remain from the once proud native Armenian inhabitants of historic Artsakh, the land of the legendary Meliks. 

But the red poppies will continue to blossom on the hills of mountainous Nagorno-Karabagh, as Artsakh recedes onto history and Vartan Oskanian too, unlike Vartan Mamigonian, will never be able to redeem himself.   

                                                ***

Links:

1. REPUBLIC OF ARMENIA’S ECONOMIC STATUS IN THE BEGINNING OF 1919 and THE U.S. HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE

 https://vhapelian.blogspot.com/2019/02/republic-of-armenias-economic-status-in.html


2.  The most consequential palace coup in recent Armenia.histor

   https://vhapelian.blogspot.com/2025/02/vartan-oskanian-is-complicit-in-most.html